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Mortgage Market Update

click for larger imageThe rate markets are under pressure again this morning. The recent spike in interest rates adds more confirmation to our forecasts that the lows in the interest rates markets are now in place and rates are unlikely to fall to new lows. The recent stampede to the safety of US treasuries became excessive; the run down in rates was mostly in treasuries but mortgage rates benefited as the outlook for the US economy hit new lows in July and August. A lot of concern the US economy would double dip and fall back into text book recession sent investors, both domestic and foreign, to the safety of bonds.  There just isn't much room left for improvement, but a lot of room for rate to go up.  I would Strongly advise capitalzing while you can.

Want to know more on how the Mortgage Market directly effects mortgage rates or need an explanation of the candlestick chart above? Send us an email and we'll gladly provide an in depth article.  Realtors, ask about a detailed presentation on the Mortgage Market at your next office meeting.

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Entries in interest rates (3)

Friday
Sep102010

The END of Ridiculously Low Rates?

Mortgage Rates Begin To Move Higher

Stronger than expected economic data pushed mortgage rates a bit higher again this week. Following a string of weekly drops since the middle of June, mortgage rates have now risen for two straight weeks.

Over the summer, mortgage rates have fallen substantially. Weaker than expected economic reports and the debt crisis in smaller European countries caused investors to reduce their forecasts for economic growth and produced a flight to the relative safety of government guaranteed bonds, resulting in the lowest mortgage rates in decades. Now, however, some investors are asking whether they can fall further. Weaker than average economic growth, low inflation, and an "unusually uncertain" economic outlook still make the current environment supportive of low mortgage rates, but some investors feel that these factors have been fully "priced in." These investors feel that economic growth must falter significantly for mortgage rates to drop much from here.

Until you "lock" your interest rate, it continues to float with market conditions and in this case it's floating up, up, up.  To lock your rate you must have a purchase contract on a specific property and communicate your wishes to secure today's rates.  My best advice for anyone home-buyer on the prowl for a mortgage or home-owner in the market for a refinance . . . lock in your great interest rate immediately!  That was free advice right there . . . who says nothing in life is free?  Yip, you're welcome, that advice may have saved you thousands and that's what I'm here for my friends!

Monday
Jan042010

Mortgage Rates on the Rise

Mortgage interest rates have been on a steady rise since November 25th, all due to a suffering Bond Market.  Mortgage Bonds have started the New Year to the upside; however, prices still need to break out of the downtrend they have been in for the past 2 weeks.  It appears that Bonds are attempting to stabilize and come out of this downtrend.  However, don’t expect Bonds to recapture all of their losses.  With the Fed buying fewer Mortgage Bonds and wrapping the program up entirely at the end of March, any improvement in rates may be modest at best. 



Friday
Dec112009

Rising Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Bonds seem to have topped out on December 8th and have drifted lower since.  As a recap, the Bond Market directly affects mortgage interest rates – when the market is higher, interest rates are

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